1 00:00:12,250 --> 00:00:06,150 you 2 00:00:18,700 --> 00:00:14,310 [Music] 3 00:00:21,460 --> 00:00:18,710 hi everyone I'm chewing my thanks for 4 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:21,470 the previous speaker give some 5 00:00:26,019 --> 00:00:23,330 introduction about the common seat in a 6 00:00:29,050 --> 00:00:26,029 transmission spectrum so today I'm going 7 00:00:32,530 --> 00:00:29,060 to talk about my work on exploring the 8 00:00:37,979 --> 00:00:32,540 cloud functions of exoplanets with JWST 9 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:37,989 transmission spectrum with my client so 10 00:00:44,229 --> 00:00:41,690 the atmosphere of an exoplanet is the 11 00:00:46,900 --> 00:00:44,239 portion that is most readily observable 12 00:00:49,750 --> 00:00:46,910 and the characterization of atmosphere 13 00:00:51,580 --> 00:00:49,760 can tell us almost everything about the 14 00:00:55,450 --> 00:00:51,590 planet including a potential 15 00:00:58,000 --> 00:00:55,460 habitability a very important component 16 00:01:00,880 --> 00:00:58,010 of the atmosphere is the cloud clouds 17 00:01:03,190 --> 00:01:00,890 are almost exists on every solar system 18 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:03,200 planets that had an atmosphere and have 19 00:01:08,499 --> 00:01:06,170 been observed on exoplanets it is very 20 00:01:11,469 --> 00:01:08,509 important because they have high albedo 21 00:01:14,109 --> 00:01:11,479 that can affect the energy balance and 22 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:14,119 they can also infer the temperature 23 00:01:20,770 --> 00:01:18,290 profile and atmospheric dynamics but the 24 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:20,780 thing is for now we don't have enough 25 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:23,930 knowledge about cloud properties through 26 00:01:28,780 --> 00:01:26,810 the current observational data and we do 27 00:01:34,179 --> 00:01:28,790 hope to learn more about it in the 28 00:01:36,999 --> 00:01:34,189 future so in this talk our goal is to 29 00:01:38,830 --> 00:01:37,009 explore how much information and what 30 00:01:41,499 --> 00:01:38,840 kind of information about cloud 31 00:01:46,300 --> 00:01:41,509 properties we can get from the future 32 00:01:47,710 --> 00:01:46,310 dreams Webb Space Telescope the data I'm 33 00:01:49,539 --> 00:01:47,720 talking about is the transition 34 00:01:52,210 --> 00:01:49,549 transmission spectrum a lot of you 35 00:01:53,620 --> 00:01:52,220 should be familiar with this concept but 36 00:01:56,499 --> 00:01:53,630 since I have this slide I would just 37 00:01:59,050 --> 00:01:56,509 walk through a little bit so when our 38 00:02:02,649 --> 00:01:59,060 planet orbiting one of its hosts our 39 00:02:06,010 --> 00:02:02,659 transit occurs because there are many 40 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:06,020 different gas species in the atmosphere 41 00:02:12,550 --> 00:02:08,810 they can absorb starlight at different 42 00:02:16,420 --> 00:02:12,560 wavelengths so we can observe the planet 43 00:02:19,300 --> 00:02:16,430 radius or the transit depth varying with 44 00:02:21,089 --> 00:02:19,310 the wavelength and that's what we call a 45 00:02:23,920 --> 00:02:21,099 transit transmission spectrum a 46 00:02:25,190 --> 00:02:23,930 transmission spectrum is essential in 47 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:25,200 helping us to 48 00:02:28,820 --> 00:02:26,970 considering the assistance and the 49 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:28,830 balances of chemicals in the atmosphere 50 00:02:34,630 --> 00:02:32,610 and it can also for potentially 51 00:02:38,420 --> 00:02:34,640 habitable planets you can also check the 52 00:02:41,270 --> 00:02:38,430 bow signatures or biomarkers to help 53 00:02:43,190 --> 00:02:41,280 assess the planetary environments but 54 00:02:45,589 --> 00:02:43,200 everything changed when coexist 55 00:02:47,470 --> 00:02:45,599 so clouds are very confusing in the 56 00:02:51,350 --> 00:02:47,480 transmission spectrum 57 00:02:53,750 --> 00:02:51,360 due to their high opacity they can they 58 00:02:58,610 --> 00:02:53,760 tend to block out a lot of the start 59 00:03:02,900 --> 00:02:58,620 light that can smear out the absorption 60 00:03:05,569 --> 00:03:02,910 features of the gas species so but 61 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:05,579 hopefully with the launching of the 62 00:03:11,809 --> 00:03:08,730 James Webb telescope we can better 63 00:03:14,180 --> 00:03:11,819 characterize clouds in the transmission 64 00:03:17,410 --> 00:03:14,190 spectrum with higher resolution and 65 00:03:21,110 --> 00:03:17,420 signal-to-noise this figure shows the 66 00:03:24,110 --> 00:03:21,120 major instrument and a waistline 67 00:03:27,550 --> 00:03:24,120 coverage of the telescope from visible 68 00:03:30,050 --> 00:03:27,560 to mid infrared to do the better 69 00:03:32,780 --> 00:03:30,060 characterization of clouds we better 70 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:32,790 first know what degree can Jada bless 71 00:03:40,309 --> 00:03:36,410 thee tell us about the cloud properties 72 00:03:43,430 --> 00:03:40,319 so to constrain cloud properties from 73 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:43,440 the transmission spectrum we first need 74 00:03:47,900 --> 00:03:45,930 to know what clouds can do to the 75 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:47,910 transmission spectrum so we use a 76 00:03:51,979 --> 00:03:50,970 radiative transfer for model with the 77 00:03:55,910 --> 00:03:51,989 input of gas 78 00:03:58,280 --> 00:03:55,920 gravity temperature profile and clouds 79 00:04:01,550 --> 00:03:58,290 to create a simulated transmission 80 00:04:04,789 --> 00:04:01,560 spectrum and the instrument model can 81 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:04,799 noise up this transmission spectrum to 82 00:04:09,949 --> 00:04:07,290 mimic the real observational data and in 83 00:04:15,140 --> 00:04:09,959 this case the JWST transmission spectrum 84 00:04:17,270 --> 00:04:15,150 and then we can go ahead to such the 85 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:17,280 information of cloud properties from 86 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:20,130 this fake data and we'll use a Bayesian 87 00:04:26,060 --> 00:04:24,090 retrieval method to do it in this study 88 00:04:28,820 --> 00:04:26,070 we don't care about other inputs we only 89 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:28,830 focus on the cloud parameters and we 90 00:04:35,690 --> 00:04:31,770 want to have a parameterised Klaus that 91 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:35,700 is physically well motivated and also 92 00:04:40,370 --> 00:04:36,690 observable 93 00:04:43,460 --> 00:04:40,380 so we use four parameters to describe 94 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:43,470 the cloud in the model the pressure 95 00:04:48,890 --> 00:04:46,770 level where the cloud base is and the 96 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:48,900 mixing ratio of the common seats at the 97 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:51,810 cloud based pressure and vertical 98 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:54,090 profile index alpha to describe how the 99 00:04:59,770 --> 00:04:57,090 mixing ratio falls off with the high 100 00:05:02,810 --> 00:04:59,780 altitude and also there's one more 101 00:05:05,090 --> 00:05:02,820 parameters to describe the particle size 102 00:05:08,750 --> 00:05:05,100 of the cloud common say that is closely 103 00:05:14,990 --> 00:05:08,760 relevant to the optical properties of 104 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:15,000 the common seat so in summary in our 105 00:05:22,580 --> 00:05:19,610 four model we include 15 gas species and 106 00:05:24,650 --> 00:05:22,590 we currently we are assuming typical 107 00:05:29,810 --> 00:05:24,660 atmospheric parameters for hot jupiter 108 00:05:31,900 --> 00:05:29,820 HD 20 9458 b note that we do not start 109 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:31,910 with earth-like planets because they are 110 00:05:39,140 --> 00:05:36,210 difficult in observation and hot rivers 111 00:05:43,340 --> 00:05:39,150 are expected to more reach in terms of 112 00:05:45,770 --> 00:05:43,350 data so our first goal is to take a 113 00:05:49,610 --> 00:05:45,780 first glance of what can we learn about 114 00:05:51,530 --> 00:05:49,620 clouds from transmission spectrum in the 115 00:05:54,260 --> 00:05:51,540 case of a hot Jupiter and on top of 116 00:06:00,380 --> 00:05:54,270 these assumptions we add a parameterize 117 00:06:04,460 --> 00:06:00,390 cloud that we just described so with 118 00:06:06,950 --> 00:06:04,470 this input and through the four model we 119 00:06:11,630 --> 00:06:06,960 are able to generate the fake 120 00:06:15,860 --> 00:06:11,640 transmission spectrum of JWST here we 121 00:06:18,860 --> 00:06:15,870 assume a cloud composed of enstatite mg 122 00:06:26,370 --> 00:06:18,870 si of 3 with particle size of 0.1 micron 123 00:06:32,650 --> 00:06:30,490 the cloud-based pressure is 10 to the 124 00:06:36,010 --> 00:06:32,660 minus 2 bar with a mixing ratio of 10 to 125 00:06:37,930 --> 00:06:36,020 the minus 13 the cloud extends all the 126 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:37,940 way from the cloud base to the top of 127 00:06:42,969 --> 00:06:41,090 the atmosphere the blue line shows the 128 00:06:45,340 --> 00:06:42,979 simulated transmission spectrum and 129 00:06:49,020 --> 00:06:45,350 these black dots with error bars out of 130 00:06:51,490 --> 00:06:49,030 fake data point we made the red curve is 131 00:06:53,710 --> 00:06:51,500 shows the contribution from the gas 132 00:06:55,810 --> 00:06:53,720 species and the green curve shows the 133 00:06:59,350 --> 00:06:55,820 contribution from the cloud common seeds 134 00:07:01,090 --> 00:06:59,360 know that the cloud of mainly affect the 135 00:07:02,260 --> 00:07:01,100 transmission spectrum at Short 136 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:02,270 wavelengths with a Rayleigh scattering 137 00:07:08,490 --> 00:07:04,970 like feature and also at longer 138 00:07:11,110 --> 00:07:08,500 wavelength with a resonance feature and 139 00:07:13,740 --> 00:07:11,120 then we can go ahead to fetch 140 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:13,750 information from these fake data we made 141 00:07:19,390 --> 00:07:17,210 using the Bayesian retrieval method that 142 00:07:22,029 --> 00:07:19,400 we know it's the Bayesian Retriever is 143 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:22,039 based on Bayes theorem that we know the 144 00:07:26,590 --> 00:07:23,690 likelihood function the prior 145 00:07:29,830 --> 00:07:26,600 distribution of parameters and the 146 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:29,840 evidence we can go ahead and derive the 147 00:07:34,930 --> 00:07:32,810 posterior distribution to be more 148 00:07:37,690 --> 00:07:34,940 straightforward the Bayesian receiver is 149 00:07:40,839 --> 00:07:37,700 to constrain Clow assumptions from the 150 00:07:43,629 --> 00:07:40,849 fake data so now we already generated 151 00:07:45,969 --> 00:07:43,639 the fake data which is cloudy from the 152 00:07:47,770 --> 00:07:45,979 fort model and now we're going to 153 00:07:50,650 --> 00:07:47,780 pretend we're ignorant about the cloud 154 00:07:52,930 --> 00:07:50,660 properties so we design experiments it 155 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:52,940 has different cloud assumptions to do 156 00:07:57,460 --> 00:07:55,130 that we need to set the targeted 157 00:07:59,500 --> 00:07:57,470 parameters that we want to know free and 158 00:08:03,060 --> 00:07:59,510 let the retrieval model to find its best 159 00:08:06,460 --> 00:08:03,070 fit which is the posterior distribution 160 00:08:09,339 --> 00:08:06,470 in our first experiment we test the 161 00:08:12,129 --> 00:08:09,349 cloud free model on the cloudy fake data 162 00:08:16,450 --> 00:08:12,139 to see whether we can tell cloud exists 163 00:08:18,659 --> 00:08:16,460 from this data we choose temperature 164 00:08:20,980 --> 00:08:18,669 metallicity seed or ratio in the 165 00:08:24,370 --> 00:08:20,990 planet-sized scale as the targeted 166 00:08:26,740 --> 00:08:24,380 parameters and this is the stair pressed 167 00:08:29,620 --> 00:08:26,750 plot of the posterior distribution of 168 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:29,630 these parameters from this comparison 169 00:08:34,959 --> 00:08:31,970 table we can see that the best feed 170 00:08:35,660 --> 00:08:34,969 values of these parameters all far off 171 00:08:38,150 --> 00:08:35,670 from the 172 00:08:42,470 --> 00:08:38,160 are true or input values in the fart 173 00:08:45,290 --> 00:08:42,480 model and then we can also take a look 174 00:08:48,830 --> 00:08:45,300 at the feeding this blue line is the 175 00:08:50,660 --> 00:08:48,840 feeding curve of the retrieval what is 176 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:50,670 retrieved from the retrieval model and 177 00:08:56,750 --> 00:08:53,970 their queen dots are the big data points 178 00:08:59,300 --> 00:08:56,760 we can totally say this is a very bad 179 00:09:01,490 --> 00:08:59,310 feed and the Chi square is very large so 180 00:09:04,750 --> 00:09:01,500 the conclusion is that we can definitely 181 00:09:08,180 --> 00:09:04,760 tell Clow exist from the data we have 182 00:09:10,820 --> 00:09:08,190 the second in the second experiment we 183 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:10,830 test with retrieve the parameterised 184 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:13,490 cloud model on the cloudy fake data 185 00:09:19,430 --> 00:09:17,010 besides of the previous four basic 186 00:09:22,610 --> 00:09:19,440 parameters we also add the four cloudy 187 00:09:25,430 --> 00:09:22,620 meters to be retrieved apologize for 188 00:09:28,250 --> 00:09:25,440 their very small labels in a stereo spot 189 00:09:31,190 --> 00:09:28,260 but we can focus on the comparison table 190 00:09:33,740 --> 00:09:31,200 that these parameters being are 191 00:09:36,550 --> 00:09:33,750 retrieved their best to these values are 192 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:36,560 very similar to their input values and 193 00:09:43,010 --> 00:09:39,330 if we take a look at the feeding curve 194 00:09:46,070 --> 00:09:43,020 we can say this is a very good fit with 195 00:09:48,650 --> 00:09:46,080 a small chi-square that we can conclude 196 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:48,660 that the cloud parameters are well 197 00:09:55,790 --> 00:09:52,650 constrained from the data we have in the 198 00:09:59,480 --> 00:09:55,800 third experiment we test the gray cloud 199 00:10:02,410 --> 00:09:59,490 model under cloudy fake data the gray 200 00:10:06,290 --> 00:10:02,420 cloud model is a simplified cloud model 201 00:10:08,690 --> 00:10:06,300 that use three parameters the cloud top 202 00:10:12,110 --> 00:10:08,700 pressure the haze amplitude and hay 203 00:10:14,510 --> 00:10:12,120 slope to mimic the what usually the 204 00:10:16,820 --> 00:10:14,520 effect of clouds have on transmission 205 00:10:18,860 --> 00:10:16,830 spectrum that is a short wavelength 206 00:10:21,770 --> 00:10:18,870 slope and the flattening that in the 207 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:21,780 shop in the longer wavelength and in the 208 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:24,090 table we can see that temperature met 209 00:10:30,740 --> 00:10:26,130 with CC do ratio this important 210 00:10:33,680 --> 00:10:30,750 atmospheric premise they all deceive 211 00:10:37,370 --> 00:10:33,690 eiated from the true values in for the 212 00:10:40,460 --> 00:10:37,380 fort model but if we take a look at the 213 00:10:44,450 --> 00:10:40,470 feeding curve the situation is actually 214 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:44,460 not that bad chi-square is not that 215 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:48,090 large that is not very unacceptable the 216 00:11:00,170 --> 00:10:49,970 feeding 217 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:00,180 might get tricked because the great 218 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:03,210 clown model is providing us a very wrong 219 00:11:09,860 --> 00:11:05,610 information about of the atmosphere 220 00:11:12,140 --> 00:11:09,870 while feeding the data not very badly so 221 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:12,150 at the current stage we have some 222 00:11:18,230 --> 00:11:14,610 conclusion but actually more questions 223 00:11:20,030 --> 00:11:18,240 in a specific case we test again we 224 00:11:22,910 --> 00:11:20,040 conclude that we can tell cloud exists 225 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:22,920 and the cloud properties can be well 226 00:11:30,020 --> 00:11:25,290 well constrained from the fake data we 227 00:11:32,510 --> 00:11:30,030 made but however recorded the cloud we 228 00:11:34,820 --> 00:11:32,520 choose generate a resonance feature in 229 00:11:37,460 --> 00:11:34,830 the long wavelength that itself might be 230 00:11:40,220 --> 00:11:37,470 very unique that can help the cloud 231 00:11:43,430 --> 00:11:40,230 properties car parameters could be to be 232 00:11:45,140 --> 00:11:43,440 well constrained so we can ask the 233 00:11:47,810 --> 00:11:45,150 question like what if we only look at 234 00:11:49,790 --> 00:11:47,820 the short wavelengths or what if we 235 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:49,800 choose something else that does not 236 00:11:56,300 --> 00:11:53,730 generate this resonance feature if that 237 00:11:58,490 --> 00:11:56,310 is especially for commented on 238 00:12:00,800 --> 00:11:58,500 earth-like planets 239 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:00,810 another conclusion is that the great 240 00:12:04,910 --> 00:12:02,730 cloud model which is popular in 241 00:12:06,860 --> 00:12:04,920 atmospheric modeling it is actually 242 00:12:11,510 --> 00:12:06,870 dangerous to use at least in this case 243 00:12:13,910 --> 00:12:11,520 so but what if we had a big particle 244 00:12:16,730 --> 00:12:13,920 size cloud coexist with a small particle 245 00:12:18,740 --> 00:12:16,740 size cloud that is what the case that 246 00:12:21,740 --> 00:12:18,750 usually the great cloud model is trying 247 00:12:24,020 --> 00:12:21,750 to mimic would it provide correct 248 00:12:26,570 --> 00:12:24,030 information of the atmosphere so these 249 00:12:30,380 --> 00:12:26,580 are all the questions that we hope to 250 00:12:33,380 --> 00:12:30,390 explore more in the future we actually 251 00:12:36,290 --> 00:12:33,390 have a lot more experimental runs to 252 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:36,300 come to answer questions like can we 253 00:12:40,460 --> 00:12:38,370 constrain particle size of condensate 254 00:12:43,940 --> 00:12:40,470 from data and can we tell there's a 255 00:12:48,890 --> 00:12:43,950 second Clow exist but more importantly 256 00:12:51,170 --> 00:12:48,900 we also start the series of experiments 257 00:12:56,210 --> 00:12:51,180 on the case of smaller and cooler 258 00:13:03,720 --> 00:12:56,220 planets with the same methodology thank 259 00:13:03,730 --> 00:13:11,420 good time for one or two questions 260 00:13:18,140 --> 00:13:15,530 great work you might want to look at how 261 00:13:21,079 --> 00:13:18,150 it how your constraints vary with the 262 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:21,089 specific instrument spectral range that 263 00:13:26,450 --> 00:13:23,250 is appropriate for different jwc 264 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:26,460 instruments for for example near spec 265 00:13:32,630 --> 00:13:29,970 only goes as several gratings 2.5 to 5 266 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:32,640 so forth and so on and you could examine 267 00:13:37,400 --> 00:13:35,370 how your constraints you know benefit 268 00:13:39,230 --> 00:13:37,410 from different observations because you 269 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:39,240 will never get that spectral range at 270 00:13:43,700 --> 00:13:41,730 one time so the question is how it 271 00:13:49,700 --> 00:13:43,710 depends on on what instrument reason 272 00:13:52,130 --> 00:13:49,710 yeah thanks we could possibly take one 273 00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:52,140 more quick question I have a quick 274 00:13:57,320 --> 00:13:55,290 question in the retrieval that included 275 00:14:00,650 --> 00:13:57,330 the climate seems like the cloud 276 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:00,660 pressure base wasn't well retrieved are 277 00:14:03,170 --> 00:14:02,730 you just insensitive to the base of the 278 00:14:05,540 --> 00:14:03,180 cloud 279 00:14:11,300 --> 00:14:05,550 yeah actually do it at the time I skip 280 00:14:14,210 --> 00:14:11,310 that so it's not well retrieved due to a 281 00:14:17,750 --> 00:14:14,220 very specific reason just in this case 282 00:14:19,820 --> 00:14:17,760 so is actually because of an effect 283 00:14:22,370 --> 00:14:19,830 called a cloud based expect that 284 00:14:26,810 --> 00:14:22,380 generates a dip in the transmission 285 00:14:31,130 --> 00:14:26,820 spectrum and that feature is deeper that 286 00:14:33,890 --> 00:14:31,140 deeper than the water feature so when 287 00:14:36,860 --> 00:14:33,900 they overlap it kind of can't tell where 288 00:14:39,290 --> 00:14:36,870 the cloud base is so if you want more 289 00:14:43,390 --> 00:14:39,300 details I can explain look later yeah 290 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:43,400 thank you let's thank young 291 00:14:45,650 --> 00:14:44,450 [Applause]